Northern Arizona
Big Sky
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating-3.9#229
Expected Predictive Rating-2.2#203
Pace65.4#266
Improvement-0.5#196

Offense
Total Offense-0.3#188
First Shot-1.6#227
After Offensive Rebound+1.3#82
Layup/Dunks-1.7#239
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#184
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#133
Freethrows-0.4#217
Improvement-1.5#260

Defense
Total Defense-3.6#280
First Shot-3.3#286
After Offensive Rebounds-0.3#207
Layups/Dunks-4.6#333
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#79
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#226
Freethrows+1.0#117
Improvement+1.0#117
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 21 - 21 - 3
Quad 33 - 64 - 9
Quad 410 - 514 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2019 18   @ Arizona L 52-91 4%     0 - 1 -22.3 -12.1 -9.7
  Nov 30, 2019 178   South Dakota W 76-72 49%     1 - 1 +0.4 +2.2 -1.6
  Dec 04, 2019 221   UC Davis L 66-85 61%     1 - 2 -25.6 -9.4 -17.3
  Dec 08, 2019 232   Nebraska Omaha W 73-65 62%     2 - 2 +1.1 -8.6 +9.3
  Dec 14, 2019 255   @ Utah Valley W 79-73 44%     3 - 2 +3.6 +0.2 +2.9
  Dec 19, 2019 220   @ UC Riverside W 63-56 37%     4 - 2 +6.5 -0.2 +7.5
  Dec 21, 2019 135   @ Pepperdine L 73-75 20%     4 - 3 +3.2 +4.2 -1.0
  Dec 28, 2019 153   @ Montana L 72-79 23%     4 - 4 0 - 1 -3.1 +1.1 -4.1
  Dec 30, 2019 239   @ Montana St. L 61-63 40%     4 - 5 0 - 2 -3.2 -6.2 +2.8
  Jan 04, 2020 275   Weber St. W 72-64 70%     5 - 5 1 - 2 -1.4 +2.6 -3.0
  Jan 09, 2020 199   @ Sacramento St. L 57-64 32%     5 - 6 1 - 3 -5.9 -6.4 -0.2
  Jan 11, 2020 307   Idaho St. L 67-71 76%     5 - 7 1 - 4 -15.1 -14.1 -1.0
  Jan 16, 2020 177   @ Southern Utah W 75-72 27%     6 - 7 2 - 4 +5.5 +8.8 -3.2
  Jan 18, 2020 99   @ Northern Colorado W 64-58 13%     7 - 7 3 - 4 +14.1 +0.7 +14.1
  Jan 25, 2020 185   Portland St. W 84-82 50%     8 - 7 4 - 4 -2.0 +2.1 -4.1
  Jan 27, 2020 199   Sacramento St. W 69-54 54%     9 - 7 5 - 4 +10.0 +6.6 +5.6
  Feb 01, 2020 324   Idaho W 77-72 82%     10 - 7 6 - 4 -8.5 -0.5 -7.9
  Feb 03, 2020 133   Eastern Washington L 66-77 38%     10 - 8 6 - 5 -11.7 -8.9 -2.6
  Feb 06, 2020 307   @ Idaho St. W 88-87 OT 55%     11 - 8 7 - 5 -4.1 +0.6 -4.8
  Feb 08, 2020 275   @ Weber St. L 70-76 48%     11 - 9 7 - 6 -9.3 -1.0 -8.8
  Feb 13, 2020 99   Northern Colorado L 54-84 28%     11 - 10 7 - 7 -27.9 -11.1 -21.5
  Feb 15, 2020 177   Southern Utah W 82-69 49%     12 - 10 8 - 7 +9.5 +15.3 -5.0
  Feb 20, 2020 324   @ Idaho W 78-61 64%     13 - 10 9 - 7 +9.6 +1.4 +7.8
  Feb 22, 2020 133   @ Eastern Washington L 70-80 19%     13 - 11 9 - 8 -4.6 +2.4 -7.5
  Feb 27, 2020 153   Montana W 57-56 43%     14 - 11 10 - 8 -1.1 -5.8 +4.9
  Feb 29, 2020 239   Montana St. L 57-63 63%     14 - 12 10 - 9 -13.3 -13.3 -0.4
  Mar 05, 2020 185   @ Portland St. L 66-80 28%     14 - 13 10 - 10 -11.9 -7.1 -5.4
  Mar 11, 2020 307   Idaho St. L 62-64 66%     14 - 14 -10.1 -15.6 +5.4
Projected Record 14 - 14 10 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Sky Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 100.0 100.0 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Big Sky Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10 100.0% 100.0
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%